November

Matthew 13.
Hindsight is 2020.

Monday, July 6, 2015

Statewide voter suppression in Maryland...

     Today, an article from the Baltimore Sun caught my eye.  It's about gerrymandering reform in Maryland. 
     It got me thinking about a blog post I had written after the last mid-term elections, but never got around to posting.  I think I wanted to let a little time pass before I posted something I had written while so. very. angry.  That's a thing... Isn't it? Never put something in writing when you are angry?
     The post was about voter suppression in Maryland.  
     Suppression... disenfranchisement... deprivation... Whatever you want to call it. 
     But it may not be what you think. 
     It wasn't those cheating Republicans, as the media's drumbeat goes. 
     It was all but six Democrats in the Maryland legislature, with the signature of then-Governor Martin O'Malley, Democrat. 
     Gerrymandering. 
     Perfectly legal, I guess... because they voted it into law in 2012 (see vote details here). 
     And oh. so. perfectly. effective. 
     Click here for the history of the 2012 redistricting plan.
     The Republicans had offered a plan that looked like this (see map just below), grouping swaths of the state pretty much by counties with shared commonalities. But it was rejected.

Just below is the map that passed instead.  
Click here to see the 2002 map that this one replaced. 
Click here to see its predecessor from 1991. 


     Look at those convoluted districts. The party in power does this for only one reason. To stay in power.
     I happen to live in District 4 (see the map... bright pink/central Maryland), which meanders from the rural Chesapeake Bay clear across and around the top of District 5 to the heavily urban nation's capital. Conservatives in our suburban/rural Anne Arundel County neighborhoods will always be silenced in this district by a margin of nearly 3-1 because of the densely populated urban voters of Western Prince George's County. The same is true for conservatives in District 6/Western Maryland, whose votes were muffled by the densely populated Montgomery County liberals.
     I wonder why we should even bother to vote in the Congressional elections anymore. The deck is stacked. My voice will never matter. They have silenced me. 
     After this redistricting, there had been an effort to put a referendum on the ballot for the 2012 General Election, but by then, it was too late for that election anyway... the voters were already voting in their newly drawn gerrymandered districts. Plus, the wording of the Ballot Question was so vague, it looked more like a procedural technicality based on new census data than anything else, given that there was no map or explanation.  Here's how it appeared on the ballot:

Question 5
Referendum Petition
(Ch. 1 of the 2011 Special Session)
Congressional Districting Plan

Establishes the boundaries for the State's eight United States Congressional Districts based on recent census figures, as required by the United States Constitution.

For the Referred Law
Against the Referred Law


     The measure passed almost 2-1. I seriously doubt that hundreds of thousands of voters statewide knew that this new redistricting plan would silence their votes.
     But the legislature knew.
     Here is the vote breakdown by county for Question 5.

     This is the way Maryland voted for Governor in the recent 2014 Gubernatorial Election (scroll down when you click on the link to see the map). The red counties voted Republican, and the blue counties and independent Baltimore City voted Democrat. The three counties bordering Washington, DC (Montgomery, Prince George's, and Charles counties) traditionally contain heavy populations of Democratic voters. The same is true with Baltimore City.  In the 2012 gerrymandering, Democrat lawmakers drew from those counties for seven out of eight of Maryland's districts in such a way as to deliberately cancel out the votes of the conservatives in all but District 1.

     Here are the votes in the 2014 mid-term Congressional races, by district.  You will note that large Democratic populations from the blue counties pop up in every district but District 1.


Representative in Congress

Congressional District 1

Bill Tilghman
Democratic
Andy Harris
Republican
Other Write-Ins
Baltimore5,64717,16723
Caroline2,6656,2526
Carroll4,45420,25225
Cecil7,67818,37721
Dorchester3,7316,4311
Harford14,41647,93876
Kent3,2614,2324
Queen Anne's5,81513,04616
Somerset2,2944,0025
Talbot5,7358,83015
Wicomico10,07315,09322
Worcester6,62711,99712
Totals72,396 (29.4%)173,617 (70.5%)226 (.1%)


Congressional District 2
C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger
Democratic
David Banach
Republican
Ian Schlakman
Green
Other Write-Ins
Anne Arundel11,0926,46646615
Baltimore City12,2171,83036318
Baltimore73,98146,1473,280129
Harford14,13111,09568215
Howard6,4523,66838018
Totals117,873 (61.3%)69,206 (36%)5,171 (2.7%)195 (.1%)

Congressional District 3

John Sarbanes
Democratic
Charles A. Long
Republican
Other Write-Ins
Anne Arundel32,37032,78080
Baltimore City30,40711,58793
Baltimore24,14219,22357
Howard19,22111,95339
Montgomery19,2969,66947
Totals125,436 (59.5%)85,212 (40.4%)316 (.1%)


Congressional District 4

Donna F. Edwards
Democratic
Nancy Hoyt
Republican
Arvin Vohra
Libertarian
Other Write-Ins
Anne Arundel21,91344,1801,60552
Prince George's108,3608,9121,091142
Totals130,273 (69.9%)53,092 (28.5%)2,696 (1.4%)194 (.1%)

Congressional District 5

Steny H. Hoyer
Democratic
Chris Chaffee
Republican
Dennis L. Fritz
(Write In)
Unaffiliated
Other Write-Ins
Anne Arundel8,37011,983NR36
Calvert14,07517,661NR70
Charles28,76617,056NR149
Prince George's75,73014,66895141
St. Mary's14,03817,803NR58
Totals140,979 (63.9%)79,171 (35.9%)95 (0%)454 (.2%)

Congressional District 6

John K. Delaney
Democratic
Dan Bongino
Republican
George Gluck
Green
Other Write-Ins
Allegany7,05912,5393387
Frederick17,65615,90478727
Garrett2,1366,5981603
Montgomery51,63531,0411,74785
Washington13,60023,79359812
Totals92,086 (49.6%)89,875 (48.4%)3,630 (2%)134 (.1%)

Congressional District 7
Elijah Cummings
Democratic
Corrogan R. Vaughn
Republican
Scott Soffen
Libertarian
Other Write-Ins
Baltimore City71,8393,8041,40173
Baltimore37,78724,9782,21460
Howard31,10326,2482,33370
Totals140,729 (69.7%)55,030 (27.3%)5,948 (2.9%)203 (.1%)


Congressional District 8


Chris Van Hollen
Democratic
Dave Wallace
Republican
Lih Young
(Write In)
Democratic
Andrew Jaye Wildman
(Write In)
Unaffiliated
Other Write-Ins
Carroll10,89325,78523558
Frederick15,97026,387NRNR81
Montgomery105,50433,808NRNR319
Totals132,367 (60.5%)85,980 (39.3%)2 (0%)35 (0%)458 (.2%)





     Investment analyst David Merkel wrote about this more than two years ago, creating a map that had simple, sensical borders, divided mostly along county lines (similar to the Republican plan - see map above):

"(This) map is my creation.  Given the odd geography of Maryland, I think it does a good job of creating equal districts amid the diverse cultural geography of Maryland.
  1. Western Maryland (rural)
  2. The Eastern Shore (rural)
  3. Southern Maryland along the Chesapeake Bay (suburban/rural)
  4. Montgomery County near DC (urban)
  5. Prince George’s County with Charles County to the South (urban)
  6. Baltimore County less its southern fringe (suburban/urban)
  7. Baltimore City w/Baltimore County’s southern fringe (urban)
  8. Central Maryland (suburban/rural)


   Hmm... gerrymander reform.  Maryland desperately needs it.  I'll believe it when I see it.

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